Estimation station and class survey for IGCSE and GCSE
A start-of-term lesson that sets the tone: estimate first, then measure, and treat being wrong as part of maths. Then collect some anonymous class data and summarise it with averages, a grouped frequency table and a scatter graph.
- Level
- IGCSE and GCSE (Higher and Extended)
- Time
- 40 minutes, plus a 10-minute extension
- Topics
- Number: estimation, percentage error and bounds; Statistics: averages and range; Statistics: grouped data and scatter graphs
- Equipment
- The starter is non-calculator. A calculator is allowed in the main activity.
Suggested timings
| Part | Time | What |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | 5 min | Quick questions on the board |
| Main: task A | 10 min | Estimation station |
| Main: task B | 15 min | Class survey: hand spans and travel times |
| Main: task C | 10 min | Spot the link |
| Extension | 10 min | Fast finishers or homework |
Starter (5 minutes)
Estimate, don’t calculate: round first.
- Estimate 49.8 × 20.3 by rounding each number first.
- Estimate (612 + 389) ÷ 4.9.
- A student estimates that a corridor is 30 m long. It is really 24 m. By what percentage of the true length was the estimate out?
Main activity (35 minutes)
Task A: Estimation station (10 min)
At each station, write your estimate first, then measure. These are one group’s results.
- A student estimated that a desk is 90 cm long. It measured 120 cm. Find the percentage error of the estimate.
- Five estimates of the number of counters in a jar were 150, 210, 180, 260 and 200. There are 196. Find the mean of the estimates, and its percentage error to 1 decimal place.
- A book is 7.4 cm thick, measured to the nearest millimetre. Write down the error interval for its thickness T cm.
Task B: Class survey: hand spans and travel times (15 min)
Made-up data from a class of 10 (hand spans in cm): 18, 20, 19, 22, 21, 17, 20, 23, 19, 21. A class of 25 recorded how long their journey to school takes:
| Time, t minutes | Frequency |
|---|---|
| 0 < t ≤ 10 | 6 |
| 10 < t ≤ 20 | 9 |
| 20 < t ≤ 30 | 7 |
| 30 < t ≤ 40 | 3 |
- Find the mean, the median and the range of the hand spans.
- Estimate the mean journey time.
- Which class interval contains the median journey time?
- For a pie chart of the journey times, find the angle of the 10 < t ≤ 20 sector.
Task C: Spot the link (10 min)
A line of best fit on a scatter graph of hand span (cm) against height (cm) passes through (150, 17) and (180, 23).
- Find the gradient of the line, and use the line to estimate the hand span of a student who is 165 cm tall.
- The heights in the survey were from 150 cm to 185 cm. Would the line give a reliable estimate for a height of 120 cm? Explain.
Extension (10 minutes)
For fast finishers.
- Two more students join the hand-span survey, with spans of 16 cm and 24 cm. Find the new mean and the new range.
For teachers
Teacher notes and full worked answers
- Estimation station: set up four or five stations (a desk to measure, a jar of counters, a corridor, a book’s thickness, a minute with eyes closed). Students write an estimate first, then measure. Being wrong is the point: celebrate the closest estimate and the best reasoning, not just the right answer, and agree a class norm that a reasoned wrong answer is a good start.
- Class survey: the data in the tasks are made up, so the answers can be checked. Then collect your own class’s anonymous data on the board (a show of hands for travel-time groups, hand spans written on sticky notes with no names) and repeat the calculations. Nothing is stored on the site.
- Ask each group which estimate surprised them most, and why: it is a good way to learn names as well as reasoning.
Starter
- About 1000
- 50 × 20 = 1000
- About 200
- (600 + 400) ÷ 5 = 200
- 25%
- 30 − 24 = 6
- 6/24 × 100 = 25%
Task A: Estimation station
- 25%
- Error = 120 − 90 = 30 cm
- 30/120 × 100 = 25%
- Mean 200; 2.0%
- Mean = 1000 ÷ 5 = 200
- (200 − 196)/196 × 100 = 2.04…% = 2.0%
- 7.35 ≤ T < 7.45
- Half of 0.1 cm is 0.05 cm either side.
Task B: Class survey: hand spans and travel times
- Mean 20 cm, median 20 cm, range 6 cm
- Total = 200, so mean = 200 ÷ 10 = 20
- In order: 17, 18, 19, 19, 20, 20, 21, 21, 22, 23; median = (20 + 20) ÷ 2 = 20
- Range = 23 − 17 = 6
- 17.8 minutes
- Midpoints 5, 15, 25, 35
- (6 × 5 + 9 × 15 + 7 × 25 + 3 × 35) ÷ 25 = 445 ÷ 25 = 17.8
- 10 < t ≤ 20
- The median is the 13th of 25 values.
- Running totals: 6, then 15, so the 13th value is in 10 < t ≤ 20.
- 129.6°
- 9/25 × 360 = 129.6
Task C: Spot the link
- Gradient 0.2; about 20 cm
- Gradient = (23 − 17) ÷ (180 − 150) = 6/30 = 0.2
- 165 cm is 15 cm past 150 cm: 17 + 0.2 × 15 = 20
- No
- 120 cm is outside the range of the data (extrapolation), so the pattern may not hold there.
Extension
- Mean 20 cm; range 8 cm
- (200 + 16 + 24) ÷ 12 = 240 ÷ 12 = 20
- 24 − 16 = 8
The same answers are in the answers PDF. Every answer was recomputed by computer before publishing.
Practise the topics
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