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Statistics and probability: Edexcel IGCSE Maths (4MA1) knowledge organiser

Everything to know about statistics and probability on one page: key definitions, the formulas, a worked example, the mistakes to avoid and a checklist of what you should be able to do.

Download the A4 sheet (PDF)

Key definitions

Statistical Measures
Mean = total ÷ count. Median = middle when ordered. Mode = most common. Range = max − min.
Histograms and Frequency Density
In a histogram the bar AREA shows the frequency: frequency density = frequency ÷ class width.
Probability
Multiply along the branches of a tree diagram, add the paths you want. Without replacement, the numbers on the second branches change.

Key formulas

Mean from a table\(\bar x=\frac{\sum fx}{\sum f}\)
Median position (\(n\) values)\(\tfrac{n+1}2\text{th value}\)
Interquartile range\(Q_3-Q_1\)
Histogram\(\text{frequency density}=\frac{\text{frequency}}{\text{class width}}\)
Probability\(P(\text{not }A)=1-P(A);\) \(\text{expected frequency}=n\times P(A)\)
Mutually exclusive\(P(A\text{ or }B)=P(A)+P(B)\)
Any two events\(P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)\) \(-P(A\cap B)\)
Independent\(P(A\text{ and }B)=P(A)\times P(B)\)
Conditional\(P(B\mid A)=\frac{P(A\cap B)}{P(A)}\)
Tree diagrams: multiply along branches, add the outcomes you want; without replacement, change the second branch

Worked example

A bag has 3 red and 5 blue counters. Two are taken without replacement. P(both red)?

  1. 3/8 × 2/7 = 6/56 = 3/28.

Common mistakes

  • Histograms: reading heights as frequencies
  • Cumulative frequency plotted at midpoints
  • Forgetting to order data before finding the median
  • Pie-chart angles not totalling 360°

More on what examiners see students get wrong: Examiner Insights.

You should be able to…

  • Classify data as qualitative or quantitative and discrete or continuous, and complete and interpret two-way tables.
  • Find the mean, median and mode from a frequency table of discrete data, and interpret what they show about the data.
  • Calculate frequency density as frequency ÷ class width and draw histograms for grouped continuous data with unequal class widths.
  • Complete cumulative frequency tables from grouped data and draw cumulative frequency curves, plotting at the upper class boundaries.
  • Estimate probabilities from experiments using relative frequency, and use probabilities to calculate expected frequencies for a number of trials.
  • Find conditional probabilities from two-way tables and Venn diagrams, restricting attention to the given event before calculating the probability.

The printable sheet

Statistics and probability knowledge organiser for Edexcel IGCSE Maths (4MA1): one A4 page of key definitions, formulas, a worked example and common mistakes
Statistics and probability knowledge organiser (Edexcel IGCSE Maths (4MA1)), A4. Download the PDF.

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Other Edexcel IGCSE Maths (4MA1) topics: Number · Algebra · Graphs, sequences and calculus · Geometry and trigonometry · All Edexcel IGCSE Maths (4MA1) organisers